Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - Portugal
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ícaro Peixoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rui Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs José Guimarães (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.