Aurora, Shooting Star
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
90%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roberto Mautone Junior (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs victor giovannini (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joao Morato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Caio Bal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
17th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
18th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joao Morato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roberto Mautone Junior (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Ricardo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Breno Santos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
19th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caio Bal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mateus Batista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Ignacio Reyes Arenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
27th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias Luiz de Oliveira Neto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sandro Ferreira (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Pereira (Unknown)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cristiano Amaral (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Codato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Yori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
41st • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Ignacio Reyes Arenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Franco Nascimento (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anderson Silva (Unknown)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Unknown)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
46th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Breno Santos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vitor Castro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
54th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Airon Luis Pereira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
58th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Haniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs JULIO LOBO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
68th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Fabris (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Unknown)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cristiano Amaral (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Unknown)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Lobo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Cristiano Amaral (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateus Batista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Miguel Ardovino (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sandro Ferreira (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.