Battle Hardened: São Paulo 2025 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert

13th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Micael Martinazzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Ignacio Reyes Arenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.48
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Cristiano Amaral

24th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raimen Lopes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Uemura (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Codato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nick Yori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.52
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.15
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Everton Furtado

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Unknown)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Leonardo Marcelino Vieira

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Parra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Souza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.98
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.