Azalea, Ace in the Hole
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raphael Almeida (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Airon Luis Pereira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elias Luiz de Oliveira Neto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Traverso (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Souza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
38th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Breno Santos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Giovanetti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Unknown)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
55th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Souza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas de Lima Goes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Unknown)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
71st • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franco Nascimento (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs victor giovannini (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Codato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vinicius Uemura (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Otavio Oliveira (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Parra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Eduardo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.