Vynnset, Iron Maiden
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Ricardo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Vitor Negri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs victor giovannini (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
23rd • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Lobo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs José Moreira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bruno Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Everton Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 6: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mateus Batista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
39th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Gabarron (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas de Lima Goes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Uemura (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Santana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.