
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs João Pereira (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.