Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: São Paulo 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anderson Silva (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Unknown)
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Luz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caio Bal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabrício Cândido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Yori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cristiano Amaral (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas de Lima Goes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bruno Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
51st • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabrício Cândido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Souza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs FELIPE ARAUJO (Unknown)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
52nd • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Gabarron (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Unknown)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
59th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs José Moreira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vitor Negri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Ignacio Reyes Arenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raphael Almeida (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Unknown)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
74th • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vitor Castro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evandro Campos (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.