Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Battle Hardened: Chicago 2024

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeremy Kruman

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Unknown)

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin Henry

20th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jason Sloan (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Jesse Hudak

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dan Groseclose

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	LL	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Matthew Siuda

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cedric DeRouchie

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.