Battle Hardened: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend - Zen, Tamer of Purpose (LL)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeremy Kruman

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

25:75

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 23:77

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Unknown)

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Austin Henry

20th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jason Sloan (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Jesse Hudak

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 23:77

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.48
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Dan Groseclose

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	LL	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Matthew Siuda

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Cedric DeRouchie

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.