Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend
Viserai, Rune Blood
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
27th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
29th • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.