Chane, Bound by Shadow at Battle Hardened: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend
Chane, Bound by Shadow
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
11th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
12th • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
14th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
16th • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.