Battle Hardened: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend - Chane, Bound by Shadow (LL)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jude Cornett

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

80:20

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

80:20

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.04
R2	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R6	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.27
R7	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.63
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Lucas Barding

11th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Brodie Spurlock

12th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.74
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.92
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ian Carrico

14th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45

80:20

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Nathan Crawford

16th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

80:20

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	LL	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.22

Kevin Brayer

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

80:20

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.