Katsu, the Wanderer
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 8-5-0
31%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cole Torres (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Eric Reed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs steven coker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kirk Huber (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Ng (Unknown)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Patrick Requejo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liping Chao (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Rose (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Virgil Toms (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jordan McClure (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Win vs Evan Ford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cole Torres (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Daylen Frehlick (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Mainhart (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Devon Wilson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs steven coker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jomar Rosete (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
30%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kayla Ginter (Unknown)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Martinez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Martin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tristen Dodder (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eric Towne (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Robertson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Powell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feagins (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Dillon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Clark (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Ross (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Green (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sarah Sloat (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Carr (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Woodland (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Michael Sawlsville (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lane MacTavish (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Tang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Dillman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Ross (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Tran (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Urias (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sean Cowan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elijiah Fegley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chad Allred (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Craig Blasy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Schoettle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Rojas (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs steven coker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Loss vs John Cooper (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Yorko (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Trent Lennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ηicholas Carnival II (Unknown)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Raul Garcia (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Velazquez (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Kindberg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian E Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Dillman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Knight (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs roque flores (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Prejean (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Kebbekus (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason McCandless (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Ricca (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steffanie Olson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Ross (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cole Torres (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Dutch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stewart Mcgirt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Miller (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Catherine Powell (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Unknown)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Beygelman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Todd Caudill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Campbell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Martin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Rose (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs george flete (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Ho (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Turner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Alexander (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Meraz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Virgil Toms (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nathan lapham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.