Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Las Vegas
Fai, Rising Rebellion
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.9
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Segmiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Harold Nunn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Unknown)
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Tarris (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Platz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Peter Desautels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Win vs Gary Gold (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
56th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
6.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs nathan lapham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Jordan McClure (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Round 12: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Levy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zack Covington (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stewart Mcgirt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Harrison (Unknown)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tristen Dodder (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Fraser (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyson Au (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wim Haeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Dillon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elijiah Fegley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Jasper Mork (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ilana Hensley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Randy Wood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Sage Husanu (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilana Hensley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Bodee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shane Ginter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Hightower (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Zhou (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Damien Riggins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Rose (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Win vs Easton Douglas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs nathan lapham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Nick Nobriga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Cameron (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Mangles (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zhou (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Hood (Unknown)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bailey Collinge (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bertrand (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Barnes (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Humbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Luke MacDowall (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric LaGaccia (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kayla Ginter (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Wolfe (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Fraser (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Ho (Unknown)
Round 5: Win vs Matthew White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Miller (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeff Chang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Apfelbaum (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Tarris (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs alberto diaz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Brose (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs JJ Lisonbee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Unknown)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Owen Pfaff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Nick Nobriga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Mayer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Walter Snowden (Unknown)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Lee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jauhzon smith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erick Avila (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tanner Major (Unknown)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Mains (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Martinez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Becks (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyson Au (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Schalich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.