Calling: Las Vegas - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonah Overholt

34th • 9-4-0

31%

Meta

+4.7

Perf

6.3

Surp

6.6

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Asher May (Unknown)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Samuel Reno (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Alex Knott (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

Meta Fit

31% (4/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.18
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.41
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.90
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.48
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.81
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.73
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	2.35

Dexter Phan

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Wray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Garcia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Blake Meier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Connor Davenport (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brandon King (Unknown)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Carter Barton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Wes Cothran (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Sean Elliott

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose Newman Jr (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs alberto diaz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luke Klasman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Knott (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.17
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.18
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.82
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R8	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xavier Byrne

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jenson Wilhelm (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Sones (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Torren Draper (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs CLARK Moore (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.85
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.83
R8	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Parra

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taylor Metz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Thompson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.67
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Nicholas Ward

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luke MacDowall (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Stevenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Moore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.67
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Connor Davenport

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raul Del Cioppo (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Daniel Ferguson

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Torren Draper (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Bradford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tyler Dumansky

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs James Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Alex Chang

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Norris (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Woodland (Unknown)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

George Ferris

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emi Sieting (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Dylan Casares

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dillman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.