Prism, Awakener of Sol
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
7.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Connor Feezor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Unknown)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryan Hefner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Unknown)
Round 7: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kalani Low (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Eric Keilback (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Green (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tony DeCaro (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brian Kebbekus (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Norris (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Wilkins (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs John Frankenfield (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Herd (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Knight (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Tarris (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kat Covington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Whitcomb (Unknown)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vance Jones (Unknown)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryan Hefner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-2
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Kolby Daily (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Donovan Mitchell (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Hightower (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Brown (Unknown)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeffrey Tracy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ariel Sas (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sarah Sloat (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Ross (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Matthew White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs John Reed (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Segmiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Ginter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.