Kano, Dracai of Aether
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Leavitt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emi Sieting (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Wong (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabs Gable (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Frankenfield (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
Round 9: Win vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs John Cooper (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Salmon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
63rd • 7-6-0
31%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vance Jones (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Jeffs (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Garner (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ηicholas Carnival II (Unknown)
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Humbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Craig Blasy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick McGregor (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Unknown)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Towne (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John McGovern (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bailey Collinge (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayden Reed (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Schoettle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Josh Gardner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Lane MacTavish (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timmy Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Miller (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Olympia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liping Chao (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs roque flores (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Reid (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Krehbiel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donovan Kormish (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Donovan Niiranen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Newman Jr (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey Tracy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Catherine Powell (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Smith (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mark Armitage (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Chang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Deaton-Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.