Calling: Las Vegas - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stephen Leany

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Rodriguez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carson Elliott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.24
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Steven Deaton-Lee

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angel Gonzalez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kayla Ginter (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Woodland (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Tang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Dockum

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Mainhart (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 24:76

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Lee

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.