Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Austria
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Armin Beiglböck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Krainer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Krogsgard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andreas Koch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
11th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Borisz Sztaniszlav (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Krogsgard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Karstenberg (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Koch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
12th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Tucek (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lukas Knirschnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
21st • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernhard Carbonari (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Moza (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phillip Müller-Vana (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Krogsgard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.