Pleiades, Superstar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernhard Carbonari (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs valentin mackl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andreas Guetz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andreas Guetz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.