FaB-Results

Fai, Rising Rebellion at National Championship 2026 - Austria

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andreas Guetz
5th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Tucek (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Moza (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Pleiades, Superstar
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Max Karstenberg (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Tom Tucek
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Guetz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philipp Reiter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Koch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Armin Beiglböck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.