Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Knirschnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cosmo Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.