Zyggy Starlight
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Wallner (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Zeiziger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Armin Beiglböck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Manfred Moza (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.