Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Müller-Vana (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.