
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
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20th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.