Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

17th 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Reiter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Koch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Phillip Müller-Vana (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Dash I/O
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Krogsgard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lackner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.