Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Müller-Vana (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manfred Moza (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.