Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Moritz Pürzelmayer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Borisz Sztaniszlav (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Denk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.