Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Koch

5th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

90:10

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 89:11

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Guetz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.33
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.56
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.10
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Christoph Lengauer

13th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Moza (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Armin Beiglböck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Florian Krainer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.15
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Markus Reichhart

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hex Hex (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andreas Guetz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.