Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026 - Austria
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-3-0
0%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Lackner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Moritz Pürzelmayer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lukas Knirschnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
10:90
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.