Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Krainer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Lackner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.