Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pol Pérez Ribera (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Dash I/O
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
9th 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ferran Riu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
32nd 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Carlos Carrero (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 86:14
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Javier Isidro Illan Vicente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Víctor Tejera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Javier Endika García Campo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonay Guillen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Puffin, Hightail
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Carrasco Pastor (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.