National Championship 2026 - Spain - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Miguel

48th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Javier Sarmiento Cantador (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

95:5

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs David García de Alcaraz Bravo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.34
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.69
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	95%	Win	✓	0.07	0.13
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Sergio Ruiz Márquez

56th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

4.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Enrique Raya (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francisco Javier Camacho Vargas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noemí Soto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Víctor Tejera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.65
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.92
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31

Dominik Piatkowski

62nd • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.78
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Draw	✓	0.70	-
R9	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.