Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Maria Mellado Becerra

5th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.54
R11	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Alberto Hernández Martin

11th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.21
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.43
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.90
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.99

Javier Díez

17th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.02
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43

Javier Querol

25th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Miguel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carles Torres (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.85
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.49
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Francisco Javier Camacho Vargas

26th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ferran Riu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

90:10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	90%	Win	✓	0.08	0.16

Daniel Folch

40th • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rodrigo Peinado (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.60
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.35
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jorge Huaroc Correa

43rd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noemí Soto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Perry Austin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.60
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Ferran Riu

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Javier Isidro Illan Vicente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Enrique Raya (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Javier Camacho Vargas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.10
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eugenio Correa

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martín Santesteban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.89
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.