FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at National Championship 2026 - Spain

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juan Lucas Sánchez
19th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Francisco Javier Camacho Vargas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Puffin, Hightail
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Javier Álvarez
39th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Peinado (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Amorín García (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.