National Championship 2026 - Spain - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Pintor

1st • 10-0-0

60%

Meta

+4.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Javier Isidro Illan Vicente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.11
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.13
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.42
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.04
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.16
R13	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.57

Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades

38th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cristian Codes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Perry Austin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Javier Isidro Illan Vicente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R8	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.50
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Víctor Sánchez Parrondo

42nd • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.96
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES

65th • 2-4-1

71%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Javier Álvarez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Oscar Nuñez Del Prado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlota Fernández (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.63
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.24
R10	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

David Gubau Jové

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Nuñez Del Prado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jurdan González Pinilla (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Enrique Raya

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ferran Riu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Javier García Peregrina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.