Fai, Rising Rebellion
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cristian Codes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Javier García Peregrina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
49th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Sebastián Rodríguez Garcia (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cristian Codes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Perry Austin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Roldán Nogal (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlota Fernández (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Javier García Peregrina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Víctor Martínez Coín (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Javier Endika García Campo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Martín Santesteban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Jimena Ortigosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Perry Austin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pol Pérez Ribera (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs José Yeray González Mücke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Gubau Jové (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.