Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2026 - Spain
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
68th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier García Peregrina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martín Santesteban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.