Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2026 - Spain
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Víctor Tejera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Alberto Ferrero González (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
34th • 6-1-0
57%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs José Antonio Alacid Pérez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 82:18
Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rodrigo Peinado (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
15th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs Javier Fernández Valls (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs José Antonio Alacid Pérez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Javier Isidro Illan Vicente (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
69th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ferran Riu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Amigo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David García de Alcaraz Bravo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs José Yeray González Mücke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
58th • 2-4-1
14%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jurdan González Pinilla (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Jimena Ortigosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Rodrigo Peinado (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Amorín García (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Draw |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio López Ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Javier Endika García Campo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enrique Raya (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.