Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
21st • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pol Pérez Ribera (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
51st • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David García de Alcaraz Bravo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noemí Soto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Carlota Fernández (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
30th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enrique Raya (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Víctor Martínez Coín (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jorge Blesa Moreno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
50th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Amigo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Javier Sarmiento Cantador (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
71st • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Roldán Nogal (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Amigo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gómez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.