National Championship 2026 - Spain - Zyggy Starlight (CC) - FaB-Results

Zyggy Starlight

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Guillermo Vergara Vazquez

70th • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.1

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlota Fernández (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Katsu, the Wanderer

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David García de Alcaraz Bravo

72nd • 0-6-1

29%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlota Fernández (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Gómez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Kassai of the Golden Sand

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

Dash I/O

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

5:95

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Miguel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Draw vs Víctor Tejera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-

Víctor Martínez Coín

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Javier Fernández Valls (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antonio López Ibañez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.