Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
55th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
5.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David García de Alcaraz Bravo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Gómez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 10: Win vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.