Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

11th 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Tihor (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurentius Zetakristiano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Julio Anthony (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
13th 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.3
Diff
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
18th 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hans Kristian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
23rd 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Romanos Defiano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Puffin, Hightail
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tuningsih Haryati (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Pleiades, Superstar
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Godrikus (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Georgius Andrian (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Pleiades, Superstar
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Godrikus (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
dropped 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Godrikus (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Benawar (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tuningsih Haryati (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tuningsih Haryati (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oktavius Ivoni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurentius Zetakristiano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.