Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryandika Wahyu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Laurentius Zetakristiano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Round 10: Win vs Geoffrey Benawar (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Agus Anugrah (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
26th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Andreas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
29th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Geoffrey Benawar (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Agus Anugrah (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.