Fai, Rising Rebellion at National Championship 2026 - Indonesia
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Wijaya (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs agung wijayanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael STEPHANUS (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 93:7
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Tihor (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 95% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.