National Championship 2026 - Indonesia - Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow (CC)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Georgius Andrian

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryandika Wahyu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael STEPHANUS

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Ryandika Wahyu

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evandra Tamzil (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Georgius Andrian (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.