National Championship 2026 - Indonesia - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Natanael Avellino

12th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fenri Mintardja (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs agung wijayanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.24
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.60

Rizky Aditya

25th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Sugianto (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Clary Toar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Anditya Tornando

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Laurentius Zetakristiano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryandika Wahyu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.