National Championship 2026 - Indonesia - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Geoffrey Benawar

5th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Boban Seputra (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

85:15

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.60
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.84
R10	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Ade Fahri Syany

33rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dave Poetera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

85:15

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.41

Andreas Andreas

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Sugianto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Wijaya (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Agus Anugrah (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.21
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.53

Juwonardo Budijanto

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.