National Championship 2026 - Indonesia - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Lim

27th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs agung wijayanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Clary Toar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hans Kristian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.84
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.95

Julio Anthony

21st • 3-1-2

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Charles Widjaja (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.79
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.35
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Mischa Guzel Madian

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fenri Mintardja (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.27
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Oktavius Ivoni

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jovan Kaladina (Unknown)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Romanos Defiano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.