Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ezequiel Emeraldo

20th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evandra Tamzil (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Julio Anthony (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.15
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Dave Poetera

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.42
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

agung wijayanto

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.