Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Georgius Andrian (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Boban Seputra (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.