Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2026 - Malaysia
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 6-1-0
14%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
6.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yong Jia jer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Dewind (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
32nd • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Boon Hao Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Bonaventure (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Dewind (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kean Hau Low (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
20th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ng cheng yang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tan Eugene (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shu Shen Liang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Boon Hao Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
22nd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ian tham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
54th • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 8: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Moses Jason (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.